U.S.–Iran Update: Escalation, Diplomacy, and What Comes Next

As tensions between the United States and Iran escalate, marked by reciprocal threats and an expanded U.S. military presence in the Middle East, the situation remains highly fluid and questions are mounting about the trajectory of the crisis.

This briefing session examines whether the emerging diplomatic framework between Tehran and Washington signals a credible path to de-escalation or serves as a prelude to potential military confrontation.

Our analysts also assess:

• How the nuclear file, ballistic missile red lines, and Israel’s security posture are shaping the trajectory of negotiations, and evaluate the likelihood of a limited agreement versus escalation
• Iran’s domestic vulnerabilities
• The role of key regional actors, including Gulf states and Israel, and the risk of broader regional spillover in the event of conflict.