If there is any year you need to take proactive action on geopolitical risk, it’s 2024.

This year, a series of local, national, and supranational elections will take place in countries with a combined population of roughly 3 billion, and the leaders who emerge from them will shape international relations for the remainder of this decade. 

Last week, RANE published our 2024 Geopolitical Forecast, identifying the key trends and constraints that will shape global developments. As you progress in your 2024 planning, this valuable report provides useful insights and analysis. Among the major trends: 

• The world prepares for a close U.S. presidential election with implications for the U.S southern border, a potential return of trade wars, and skepticism about NATO. 

• Israel takes control of Gaza and faces an insurgency, regional instability, diplomatic pushback, and domestic political uncertainty. 

• China's economy slows but not to the point of a financial crisis, with a manageable impact on emerging economies. 

• The war in Ukraine grinds on amid falling Western support for Ukraine and as substantive negotiations with Russia remain elusive. 

• Taiwan’s election is likely to prompt Chinese retaliation, fueling U.S.-China competition and accelerating regional supply chain diversification and defense spending. 

We are pleased to share a summary report with a limited number of non-clients. You can download the report by completing the form below.