2026 Annual Forecast Webinar Replay

Watch RANE analysts explore key topics identified in RANE's 2026 Annual Forecast.

Recorded 1/07/26 On Demand Virtual

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Speakers

Matthew Bey

Senior Analyst, RANE

Caroline Hammer

Global Security Analyst, RANE

Matteo Ilardo

Lead Europe Analyst, RANE

  • U.S. tariffs: Tariff uncertainty will stay elevated in 2026 due to legal challenges to the Trump administration and ongoing trade disputes with key partners.
  • Supply chains: U.S.–China rivalry and rapid data-center expansion will sustain supply-chain risk, especially for critical minerals and memory chips.
  • Venezuela: In 2026, the United States will use military pressure against the remaining Venezuelan regime and criminal networks and seek to engineer a political transition while expanding counternarcotics operations across the region.
  • European Union: The EU will push to reduce reliance on Russian energy and Chinese minerals while accelerating defense integration and preparing to support Ukraine independently.
  • Russia–Ukraine war: Both sides will resist concessions early in 2026, but mounting pressures increase the likelihood of negotiations later in the year.

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